

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 44.55% ( | 25.11% ( | 30.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.23% ( | 47.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.04% ( | 69.96% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.54% | 21.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.52% ( | 54.48% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% ( | 29.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.69% ( | 65.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 3-1 @ 4.69% 3-0 @ 3.82% ( 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 44.55% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 1-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 44 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 36 |
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 27 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
| 7 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 20 |
| 9 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 20 |
| 10 | Arbroath | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
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