

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Airdrieonians | 
| 38.12% (  -0.1) | 26.25% (  0.08) | 35.63% (  0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 53.34% (  -0.26) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.7% (  -0.34) | 51.29% (  0.34) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.88% (  -0.29) | 73.12% (  0.3) | 
| Ayr United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.75% (  -0.21) | 26.25% (  0.21) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.64% (  -0.28) | 61.35% (  0.29) | 
| Airdrieonians Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.31% (  -0.15) | 27.68% (  0.15) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.76% (  -0.19) | 63.24% (  0.19) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Ayr United | Draw | Airdrieonians | 
| 1-0 @ 9.72% (  0.07) 2-1 @ 8.35% (  -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.5% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 3.72% (  -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.9% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% (  -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.25% (  -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.12% | 1-1 @ 12.48% (  0.04) 0-0 @ 7.27% (  0.1) 2-2 @ 5.36% (  -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.02% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.33% (  0.09) 1-2 @ 8.02% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.99% (  0.03) 1-3 @ 3.43% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.57% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.3% (  -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.1% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.63% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 44 | 
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 | 
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 36 | 
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 27 | 
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 26 | 
| 6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 | 
| 7 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 21 | 
| 8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 20 | 
| 9 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 20 | 
| 10 | Arbroath | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 | 
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