

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 59.37% ( | 21.29% ( | 19.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.85% ( | 41.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.45% ( | 63.54% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.48% ( | 13.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.43% ( | 40.57% ( |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.06% ( | 34.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.32% ( | 71.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 3-1 @ 6.63% ( 3-0 @ 6.31% ( 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 4-1 @ 3.32% ( 4-0 @ 3.16% ( 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 5-0 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 59.37% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.29% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0-1 @ 4.97% ( 0-2 @ 2.61% ( 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 19.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 44 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 36 |
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 27 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
| 7 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 20 |
| 9 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 20 |
| 10 | Arbroath | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
| > Scottish Championship Full Table | |||||||||
