

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.24%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-0 (8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Falkirk |
| 22.38% ( | 25.89% ( | 51.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.66% ( | 56.34% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.63% ( | 77.37% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.47% ( | 40.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.86% ( | 77.14% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% ( | 21.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.92% ( | 55.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 8% ( 2-1 @ 5.49% ( 2-0 @ 3.61% ( 3-1 @ 1.65% ( 3-2 @ 1.26% ( 3-0 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.28% Total : 22.38% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 2-2 @ 4.18% ( Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 13.47% ( 0-2 @ 10.24% ( 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0-3 @ 5.19% ( 1-3 @ 4.69% ( 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0-4 @ 1.98% ( 1-4 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 3% Total : 51.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 61 | 25 | 36 | 66 |
| 2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 30 | 20 | 55 |
| 3 | Livingston | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 45 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 40 |
| 6 | Raith Rovers | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 38 |
| 7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 33 |
| 8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
| 9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 21 |
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