

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 47.97%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 47.97% ( | 26.13% ( | 25.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.54% ( | 54.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.17% ( | 75.82% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.28% ( | 22.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.62% ( | 56.38% ( |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.75% ( | 36.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.97% ( | 73.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% ( 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 4-0 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 47.97% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 2-2 @ 4.66% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0-2 @ 4.24% ( 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 63 |
| 2 | Livingston | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 54 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 45 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 38 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 37 |
| 7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
| 8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 28 |
| 9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 21 |
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