

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United | 
| 28.49% (  -0.04) | 23.71% (  -0.13) | 47.8% (  0.18) | 
| Both teams to score 59.07% (  0.43) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.44% (  0.58) | 42.56% (  -0.57) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35.03% (  0.57) | 64.96% (  -0.57) | 
| Hamilton Academical Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.02% (  0.27) | 27.98% (  -0.26) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.38% (  0.34) | 63.61% (  -0.33) | 
| Ayr United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.01% (  0.29) | 17.99% (  -0.29) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.15% (  0.5) | 48.85% (  -0.5) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United | 
| 2-1 @ 7% (  -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.41% (  -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.08% (  -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.97% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 2.55% (  0.04) 3-0 @ 1.73% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% (  0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.49% | 1-1 @ 10.99% (  -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.01% (  0.05) 0-0 @ 5.03% (  -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.46% (  0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 9.43% (  0.01) 0-1 @ 8.63% (  -0.14) 0-2 @ 7.41% (  -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.39% (  0.05) 0-3 @ 4.23% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 3.44% (  0.06) 1-4 @ 2.31% (  0.05) 0-4 @ 1.82% (  0.02) 2-4 @ 1.47% (  0.04) Other @ 3.66% Total : 47.8% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 63 | 
| 2 | Livingston | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 55 | 
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 54 | 
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 45 | 
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 38 | 
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 37 | 
| 7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 | 
| 8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 28 | 
| 9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 27 | 
| 10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 21 | 
| > Scottish Championship Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
