

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
| 28.49% ( | 23.71% ( | 47.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.44% ( | 42.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.03% ( | 64.96% ( |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% ( | 27.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.38% ( | 63.61% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.01% ( | 17.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.15% ( | 48.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
| 2-1 @ 7% ( 1-0 @ 6.41% ( 2-0 @ 4.08% ( 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 4-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.49% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 3-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0-2 @ 7.41% ( 1-3 @ 5.39% ( 0-3 @ 4.23% ( 2-3 @ 3.44% ( 1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0-4 @ 1.82% ( 2-4 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 3.66% Total : 47.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 63 |
| 2 | Livingston | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 54 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 45 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 38 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 37 |
| 7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
| 8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 28 |
| 9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 21 |
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