Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
28.49% (![]() | 23.71% (![]() | 47.8% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.07% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.44% (![]() | 42.56% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.03% (![]() | 64.96% (![]() |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.02% (![]() | 27.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.38% (![]() | 63.61% (![]() |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.01% (![]() | 17.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.15% (![]() | 48.85% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
2-1 @ 7% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.41% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.08% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.49% | 1-1 @ 10.99% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.01% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.46% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 9.43% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.63% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.41% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.47% ( ![]() Other @ 3.66% Total : 47.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 63 |
2 | Livingston | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 55 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 54 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 45 |
5 | Raith Rovers | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 38 |
6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 37 |
7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 28 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 27 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 21 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |