Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 50.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.