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Aberdeen logo
Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 9, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Dunfermline Athletic

Aberdeen
3 - 0
Dunfermline

Gueye (45+1'), Jensen (50'), Nisbet (85')
Tobers (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hamilton (34'), Yeboah (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Cup clash between Aberdeen and Dunfermline Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 2-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dunfermline 0-2 Livingston
Wednesday, February 5 at 7.35pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

We said: Aberdeen 3-0 Dunfermline Athletic

Aberdeen may be enduring a miserable run over the past weeks, but the hosts boast the superior quality across their squad and hold the home advantage, leading us to expect a win for the Dons. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 21.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.

Result
AberdeenDrawDunfermline Athletic
54.62% (-0.186 -0.19) 23.67% (0.235 0.23) 21.71% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.13% (-0.811 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56% (-1.046 -1.05)48.43% (1.045 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (-0.961 -0.96)70.57% (0.961 0.96)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38% (-0.449 -0.45)17.61% (0.449 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.8% (-0.786 -0.79)48.2% (0.786 0.79)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.27% (-0.635 -0.63)36.73% (0.636 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.48% (-0.642 -0.64)73.51% (0.64100000000001 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 54.62%
    Dunfermline Athletic 21.71%
    Draw 23.67%
AberdeenDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 11.23% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.75% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.45% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 54.62%
1-1 @ 11.25% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.274 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.67%
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.166 0.17)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 21.71%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Dunfermline

Aberdeen
69.2%
Draw
23.1%
Dunfermline Athletic
7.7%
13
rhs 2.0
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