Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 53.8%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 23.89% ( | 22.3% ( | 53.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.03% ( | 39.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.67% ( | 62.33% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.92% ( | 30.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.79% ( | 66.21% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.12% ( | 14.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.78% ( | 43.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 6.15% ( 1-0 @ 5.38% ( 2-0 @ 3.23% ( 3-1 @ 2.46% ( 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 3-0 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 23.89% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0-0 @ 4.47% ( 3-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.3% | 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0-2 @ 8.12% ( 1-3 @ 6.2% ( 0-3 @ 5.16% ( 2-3 @ 3.72% ( 1-4 @ 2.95% ( 0-4 @ 2.46% ( 2-4 @ 1.77% ( 1-5 @ 1.13% ( 0-5 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 53.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
| 2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
| 14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
| 16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
| R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
| R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
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