

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 81.84%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 6.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.39%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.69%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 81.84% ( | 12.03% ( | 6.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.16% ( | 31.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.63% ( | 53.37% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.16% ( | 5.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 77.59% ( | 22.41% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.93% ( | 51.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 14.61% ( | 85.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-0 @ 12.02% ( 3-0 @ 11.39% ( 1-0 @ 8.47% ( 4-0 @ 8.09% ( 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 3-1 @ 7.66% ( 4-1 @ 5.44% ( 5-0 @ 4.6% ( 5-1 @ 3.09% ( 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 6-0 @ 2.18% ( 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 6-1 @ 1.46% ( 5-2 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 3.92% Total : 81.83% | 1-1 @ 5.69% ( 0-0 @ 2.98% ( 2-2 @ 2.72% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 12.03% | 0-1 @ 2% ( 1-2 @ 1.91% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 6.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 70 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 33 | 53 | 64 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 32 | 59 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 46 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 34 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 |
| 12 | Heracles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Groningen | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 31 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 30 |
| 16 | Willem II | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 19 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 57 | -37 | 19 |
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