| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 6 | 18 | 18 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 5 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 7 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | NEC | 6 | 2 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 13.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 67.39% ( | 18.63% ( | 13.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.04% ( | 38.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.72% ( | 61.28% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.36% ( | 10.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.51% ( | 34.49% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.9% ( | 40.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.25% ( | 76.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-0 @ 10.71% ( 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 1-0 @ 9.56% ( 3-0 @ 8% ( 3-1 @ 7.31% ( 4-0 @ 4.48% ( 4-1 @ 4.09% ( 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 5-0 @ 2.01% ( 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 5-1 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 4.41% Total : 67.39% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0-0 @ 4.27% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.64% | 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0-1 @ 3.9% ( 0-2 @ 1.78% ( 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 1-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 1.72% Total : 13.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 61 |
| 2 | Ajax | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 56 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 71 | 33 | 38 | 56 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 54 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 35 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
| 13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 24 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 24 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 24 |
| 17 | Groningen | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 16 |
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