

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Groningen | 
| 46.61% ( | 24.85% ( | 28.54% ( | 
| Both teams to score 55.27% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.42% ( | 47.58% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.22% ( | 69.78% ( | 
| Fortuna Sittard Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.53% ( | 20.47% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.07% ( | 52.93% ( | 
| Groningen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.49% ( | 30.51% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.27% ( | 66.73% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Groningen | 
| 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 3-1 @ 4.93% ( 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.61%  | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.84%  | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 2-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.54%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 81 | 29 | 52 | 82 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 87 | 39 | 48 | 72 | 
| 3 | Ajax | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 85 | 35 | 50 | 69 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 67 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 61 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 56 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 51 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 43 | 
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 41 | 
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 40 | 
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 38 | 
| 12 | Vitesse | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 37 | 
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 35 | 
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 33 | 
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 68 | -38 | 32 | 
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 28 | 
| R | Groningen | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 70 | -39 | 18 | 
| R | Cambuur | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 69 | -47 | 16 | 
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