Though Udinese have proved hard to beat on the road, Bologna's home record is the sixth-best in Serie A, and they should taste success at Dall'Ara once again. Despite lacking a distinct threat up front, the Rossoblu can snatch three points with a single strike in Sunday's early kickoff.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
