| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 6 | 12 | 16 | 
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 17 | 15 | 
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 7 | 14 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 6 | 18 | 18 | 
| 2 | Feyenoord | 6 | 12 | 16 | 
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 17 | 15 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.29%) and 1-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Feyenoord | 
| 50.63% (  -0.57) | 21.52% (  0.2) | 27.85% (  0.37) | 
| Both teams to score 66.58% (  -0.42) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 67.53% (  -0.68) | 32.47% (  0.68) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 45.89% (  -0.79) | 54.11% (  0.79) | 
| PSV Eindhoven Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.73% (  -0.41) | 13.27% (  0.41) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.93% (  -0.84) | 40.07% (  0.84) | 
| Feyenoord Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.77% (  -0.12) | 23.23% (  0.12) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.86% (  -0.18) | 57.14% (  0.18) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Feyenoord | 
| 2-1 @ 9.18% (  0.02) 2-0 @ 6.29% (  0.04) 1-0 @ 6.23% (  0.13) 3-1 @ 6.18% (  -0.08) 3-2 @ 4.51% (  -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.23% (  -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.12% (  -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.28% (  -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.14% (  -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.26% (  -0.06) 4-3 @ 1.11% (  -0.04) 5-2 @ 0.92% (  -0.04) Other @ 3.2% Total : 50.63% | 1-1 @ 9.09% (  0.16) 2-2 @ 6.7% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.08% (  0.11) 3-3 @ 2.19% (  -0.04) Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.52% | 1-2 @ 6.63% (  0.09) 0-1 @ 4.5% (  0.15) 0-2 @ 3.28% (  0.1) 2-3 @ 3.26% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.23% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 1.6% (  0.04) 2-4 @ 1.19% (  -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.18% (  0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 27.85% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 | 
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 41 | 
| 3 | Ajax | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 56 | 21 | 35 | 40 | 
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 39 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 37 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 34 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 27 | 
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 26 | 
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 23 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 23 | 
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 | 
| 13 | Vitesse | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 20 | 
| 14 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 20 | 
| 15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 17 | 
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 16 | 
| 17 | Groningen | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 13 | 
| 18 | Cambuur | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 12 | 
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