| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 36.13% ( | 23.93% ( | 39.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.38% ( | 40.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37% ( | 63% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.56% ( | 22.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.03% ( | 55.97% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% ( | 20.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.93% ( | 53.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 4-0 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.13% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 2-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 39.94% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 41 |
| 3 | Ajax | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 56 | 21 | 35 | 40 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 39 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 37 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 34 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 23 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 23 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 20 |
| 14 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 20 |
| 15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 16 |
| 17 | Groningen | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 13 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 12 |
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