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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 82.85%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 5.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.36%) and 4-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.35%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Feyenoord in this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Willem II |
82.85% | 11.38% | 5.77% |
Both teams to score 46.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.05% | 29.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.85% | 51.15% |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.71% | 5.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.16% | 20.84% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.29% | 50.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.85% | 85.15% |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Willem II |
2-0 @ 11.59% 3-0 @ 11.36% 4-0 @ 8.36% 1-0 @ 7.89% 2-1 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 7.72% 4-1 @ 5.67% 5-0 @ 4.92% 5-1 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.62% 6-0 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.93% 6-1 @ 1.64% 5-2 @ 1.13% 7-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.4% Total : 82.84% | 1-1 @ 5.35% 0-0 @ 2.68% 2-2 @ 2.67% Other @ 0.67% Total : 11.38% | 0-1 @ 1.82% 1-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.13% Total : 5.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Ajax | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 98 | 19 | 79 | 83 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 86 | 42 | 44 | 81 |
3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 71 |
4 | FC Twente | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 68 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 61 |
6 | Vitesse | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 51 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 47 |
8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 41 |
9 | Cambuur | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 39 |
10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 38 |
11 | NEC | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 38 |
12 | Groningen | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 36 |
13 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 36 |
14 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
15 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 35 |
16 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Willem II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 33 |
R | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 27 |
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