

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 6 | -13 | 4 |
| 17 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Fortuna Sittard | 6 | -9 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 7 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | SBV Excelsior | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 9 | NEC | 7 | 2 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 42.36% ( | 25.38% ( | 32.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.77% ( | 48.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.62% ( | 70.38% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( | 22.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.68% ( | 56.32% ( |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.7% ( | 28.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.98% ( | 64.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.37% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 1-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 81 | 29 | 52 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 87 | 39 | 48 | 72 |
| 3 | Ajax | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 85 | 35 | 50 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 61 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 56 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 51 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 43 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 41 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 40 |
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 | Vitesse | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 37 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 35 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 33 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 68 | -38 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 28 |
| R | Groningen | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 70 | -39 | 18 |
| R | Cambuur | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 69 | -47 | 16 |
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