

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 63.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 63.91% ( | 21.67% ( | 14.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.85% ( | 51.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27% ( | 73% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.63% ( | 15.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.85% ( | 44.15% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.98% ( | 47.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.5% ( | 82.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 1-0 @ 13.53% ( 2-0 @ 12.67% ( 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 3-0 @ 7.91% ( 3-1 @ 5.97% ( 4-0 @ 3.7% ( 4-1 @ 2.8% ( 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 5-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 63.91% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 2-2 @ 3.61% ( Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.45% ( 1-2 @ 3.85% ( 0-2 @ 2.06% ( 1-3 @ 0.97% ( 2-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.18% Total : 14.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 76 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 |
| 3 | Ajax | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 63 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 61 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 55 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 38 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 37 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 30 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 28 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 28 |
| R | Groningen | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 18 |
| R | Cambuur | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 16 |
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