

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for NEC had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 26.29% ( | 22.6% ( | 51.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.95% ( | 39.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.62% ( | 61.37% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% ( | 27.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.7% ( | 63.3% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.54% ( | 15.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.68% ( | 44.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 6.58% ( 1-0 @ 5.5% ( 2-0 @ 3.53% ( 3-1 @ 2.82% ( 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 3-0 @ 1.51% ( 4-1 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 26.29% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0-1 @ 8% ( 0-2 @ 7.47% ( 1-3 @ 5.96% ( 0-3 @ 4.65% ( 2-3 @ 3.83% ( 1-4 @ 2.78% ( 0-4 @ 2.17% ( 2-4 @ 1.79% ( 1-5 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 3.84% Total : 51.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
| 14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
