| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 8 | FC Utrecht | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Groningen | 6 | -4 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Groningen | 6 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 | NEC | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 0 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for NEC had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | NEC |
| 55.1% ( | 22.9% ( | 22% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.2% ( | 44.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.84% ( | 67.16% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% ( | 16.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.44% ( | 45.56% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.59% ( | 34.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.89% ( | 71.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | NEC |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 3-0 @ 5.62% ( 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 5-1 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.09% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 5.92% 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0-2 @ 3.16% ( 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 |
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 49 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
| 5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 29 |
| 11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 29 |
| 12 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
| 13 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 15 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
