

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | SBV Excelsior | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 9 | NEC | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | FC Utrecht | 5 | -2 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for NEC had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | NEC |
| 57.01% ( | 22.34% ( | 20.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.96% ( | 44.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.58% ( | 66.41% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.78% ( | 15.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.13% ( | 43.87% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.72% ( | 35.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.96% ( | 72.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | NEC |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 3-0 @ 5.97% ( 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 4-0 @ 2.81% ( 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 5-0 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 57.01% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.34% | 0-1 @ 5.59% ( 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 1-3 @ 1.91% ( 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 20.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 73 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 |
| 3 | Ajax | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 62 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 60 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 53 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 52 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 38 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 32 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 31 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 30 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 28 |
| 17 | Groningen | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 16 |
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