

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Doncaster Rovers | 
| 30.13% ( | 26.41% ( | 43.46% ( | 
| Both teams to score 51.23% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 46.73% ( | 53.27% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.18% ( | 74.82% ( | 
| Crewe Alexandra Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.71% ( | 32.29% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.21% ( | 68.8% ( | 
| Doncaster Rovers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.66% ( | 24.34% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.27% ( | 58.73% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Doncaster Rovers | 
| 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 2-1 @ 7.1% ( 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 3-1 @ 2.67% ( 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 3-2 @ 1.89% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 30.13%  | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 2-2 @ 5.01% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.41%  | 0-1 @ 11.1% ( 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0-2 @ 7.85% ( 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0-3 @ 3.7% ( 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0-4 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 43.45%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 | 
| P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 | 
| P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 | 
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 | 
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 | 
| 8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 | 
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 | 
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 | 
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 | 
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 | 
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 | 
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 | 
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 | 
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 | 
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 | 
| 20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 | 
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 | 
| 22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 | 
| R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
