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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | 1st Leg
May 6, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Crewe
0 - 2
Doncaster


Demetriou (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Molyneux (34'), Biggins (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 2-2 Doncaster
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-2 Doncaster Rovers

 Although both teams finished level on points, Doncaster will have momentum on their side after winning 10 of their previous 11 matches, and we think that they will claim another victory when they face a Crewe side that has lost each of their last three home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawDoncaster Rovers
29.96% (0.322 0.32) 24.19% (0.286 0.29) 45.84% (-0.607 -0.61)
Both teams to score 58.39% (-0.8 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.11% (-1.141 -1.14)43.89% (1.142 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.72% (-1.126 -1.13)66.28% (1.127 1.13)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (-0.357 -0.36)27.64% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.81% (-0.463 -0.46)63.18% (0.464 0.46)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (-0.70399999999999 -0.7)19.3% (0.705 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.94% (-1.173 -1.17)51.06% (1.174 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 29.96%
    Doncaster Rovers 45.84%
    Draw 24.19%
Crewe AlexandraDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.056 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.86% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 4.41% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 29.96%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.262 0.26)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 9.28% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 7.22% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.09% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.96% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 45.84%

How you voted: Crewe vs Doncaster

Crewe Alexandra
22.2%
Draw
9.3%
Doncaster Rovers
68.5%
54
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Doncaster
2-0
Crewe
Adelakun (17'), Rowe (58')

Rowe (37'), Adebisi (43'), Cooney (54'), Williams (65')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Crewe
3-2
Doncaster
Offord (29'), O'Riordan (44', 90+2')
Thomas (90')
Faal (16'), Ironside (57')
Maxwell (19'), Anderson (37')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Doncaster
0-2
Crewe
Baker-Richardson (31'), O'Riordan (37')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Crewe
1-1
Doncaster
Baker-Richardson (14')
Miller (77')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Doncaster
2-0
Crewe
Rowe (10'), Martin (47')
Rowe (60')

Mandron (60'), Long (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall37209867432469
2Bradford CityBradford37199948311766
3AFC Wimbledon371891049262363
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
5Notts County3717101056391761
6Port Vale361613747371061
7Colchester UnitedColchester371416745331258
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe37141584538757
9Grimsby Town37175155154-356
10Salford City371411124441353
11Bromley371313114845352
12Chesterfield361491358441451
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham371311135154-350
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood371213124946349
15Swindon TownSwindon371114125555047
16Newport CountyNewport37137174861-1346
17BarrowBarrow36128164043-344
18MK Dons36126184653-742
19Gillingham36119163139-842
20Accrington StanleyAccrington371010174555-1040
21Harrogate TownHarrogate37117192948-1940
22Tranmere RoversTranmere37812172855-2736
23Morecambe3786233356-2330
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3669212653-2727
> League Two Full Table


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