

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Grimsby Town | 
| 43.56% (  0.16) | 24.58% (  -0) | 31.87% (  -0.15) | 
| Both teams to score 58.04% (  -0.06) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.22% (  -0.05) | 44.78% (  0.06) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.86% (  -0.05) | 67.14% (  0.06) | 
| Crewe Alexandra Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.35% (  0.05) | 20.66% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.77% (  0.08) | 53.24% (  -0.07) | 
| Grimsby Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.15% (  -0.12) | 26.85% (  0.13) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.85% (  -0.16) | 62.15% (  0.17) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Grimsby Town | 
| 2-1 @ 9.07% (  0.02) 1-0 @ 8.75% (  0.04) 2-0 @ 6.9% (  0.04) 3-1 @ 4.77% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 3.63% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 3.14% (  -0) 4-1 @ 1.88% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 1.43% (  0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% (  0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 43.56% | 1-1 @ 11.5% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.55% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.58% | 1-2 @ 7.56% (  -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.29% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.8% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.32% (  -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.61% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.1% (  -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.09% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.87% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Walsall | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 71 | 
| 2 | Bradford CityBradford | 39 | 20 | 10 | 9 | 52 | 32 | 20 | 70 | 
| 3 | Port Vale | 39 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 67 | 
| 4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 57 | 44 | 13 | 66 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 65 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 65 | 
| 7 | Grimsby Town | 39 | 19 | 5 | 15 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 62 | 
| 8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 39 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 58 | 
| 9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 39 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 58 | 
| 10 | Salford City | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 56 | 
| 11 | Chesterfield | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 55 | 
| 12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 53 | 
| 13 | Bromley | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 52 | 
| 14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 39 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 50 | 
| 15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 39 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 48 | 
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 48 | 
| 17 | MK Dons | 39 | 13 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 46 | 
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 39 | 13 | 7 | 19 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 | 
| 19 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 44 | 
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 42 | 
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 42 | 
| 22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 40 | 
| 23 | Morecambe | 39 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 33 | 
| 24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 39 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 31 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
