MX23RW : Saturday, April 26 00:16:49| >> :600:1896696:1896696:
Coupe de France | Semi-Finals
Apr 1, 2025 at 8.10pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
PSG logo

Dunkerque
2 - 4
PSG

Sasso (7'), Yahya Saeed Al Saad (27')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dembele (45', 90+3'), Marquinhos (48'), Doue (62')
Beraldo (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coupe de France clash between Dunkerque and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Dunkerque 0-3 Paris Saint-Germain

Despite Dunkerque's remarkable journey, facing a PSG side that has dominated French football is a daunting task, and with the defending champions in relentless form, anything short of a commanding victory would be unexpected. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 71.82%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 11.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-3 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 2-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
DunkerqueDrawParis Saint-Germain
11.9% (-0.529 -0.53) 16.27% (-0.867 -0.87) 71.82% (1.395 1.4)
Both teams to score 56.12% (1.668 1.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.38% (2.914 2.91)32.62% (-2.915 -2.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.71% (3.297 3.3)54.29% (-3.299 -3.3)
Dunkerque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.98% (1.141 1.14)39.02% (-1.143 -1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.26% (1.058 1.06)75.74% (-1.06 -1.06)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.03% (1.03 1.03)7.97% (-1.0321 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.88% (2.547 2.55)28.12% (-2.549 -2.55)
Score Analysis
    Dunkerque 11.9%
    Paris Saint-Germain 71.82%
    Draw 16.27%
DunkerqueDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 3.48% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-0 @ 2.93% (-0.372 -0.37)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.056 0.06)
2-0 @ 1.38% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 1.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 11.9%
1-1 @ 7.4% (-0.539 -0.54)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.045 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.11% (-0.506 -0.51)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 16.27%
0-2 @ 9.95% (-0.523 -0.52)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-3 @ 8.39% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.9% (0.222 0.22)
0-1 @ 7.86% (-0.84 -0.84)
0-4 @ 5.31% (0.243 0.24)
1-4 @ 4.99% (0.375 0.38)
2-3 @ 3.72% (0.216 0.22)
0-5 @ 2.69% (0.247 0.25)
1-5 @ 2.53% (0.302 0.3)
2-4 @ 2.35% (0.243 0.24)
2-5 @ 1.19% (0.174 0.17)
0-6 @ 1.13% (0.153 0.15)
1-6 @ 1.07% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 71.82%

How you voted: Dunkerque vs PSG

Dunkerque
17.4%
Draw
8.7%
Paris Saint-Germain
73.9%
69
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool33247275314479
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331851062441859
6Chelsea33169858401857
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Bournemouth3313101052401249
9Fulham33139114845348
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton33121295353048
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Everton33814113440-638
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd33108153846-838
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33115174861-1338
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs331141861511037
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3399153755-1836
18Ipswich TownIpswich3349203371-3821
19Leicester CityLeicester3346232773-4618
20Southampton3325262478-5411


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