MX23RW : Saturday, May 24 16:54:06| >> :600:191719:191719:
Coupe de France | Semi-Finals
Apr 1, 2025 at 8.10pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
PSG logo

Dunkerque
2 - 4
PSG

Sasso (7'), Yahya Saeed Al Saad (27')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dembele (45', 90+3'), Marquinhos (48'), Doue (62')
Beraldo (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coupe de France clash between Dunkerque and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Dunkerque 0-3 Paris Saint-Germain

Despite Dunkerque's remarkable journey, facing a PSG side that has dominated French football is a daunting task, and with the defending champions in relentless form, anything short of a commanding victory would be unexpected. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 71.82%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 11.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-3 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 2-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
DunkerqueDrawParis Saint-Germain
11.9% (-0.529 -0.53) 16.27% (-0.867 -0.87) 71.82% (1.395 1.4)
Both teams to score 56.12% (1.668 1.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.38% (2.914 2.91)32.62% (-2.915 -2.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.71% (3.297 3.3)54.29% (-3.299 -3.3)
Dunkerque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.98% (1.141 1.14)39.02% (-1.143 -1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.26% (1.058 1.06)75.74% (-1.06 -1.06)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.03% (1.03 1.03)7.97% (-1.0321 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.88% (2.547 2.55)28.12% (-2.549 -2.55)
Score Analysis
    Dunkerque 11.9%
    Paris Saint-Germain 71.82%
    Draw 16.27%
DunkerqueDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 3.48% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-0 @ 2.93% (-0.372 -0.37)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.056 0.06)
2-0 @ 1.38% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 1.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 11.9%
1-1 @ 7.4% (-0.539 -0.54)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.045 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.11% (-0.506 -0.51)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 16.27%
0-2 @ 9.95% (-0.523 -0.52)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-3 @ 8.39% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.9% (0.222 0.22)
0-1 @ 7.86% (-0.84 -0.84)
0-4 @ 5.31% (0.243 0.24)
1-4 @ 4.99% (0.375 0.38)
2-3 @ 3.72% (0.216 0.22)
0-5 @ 2.69% (0.247 0.25)
1-5 @ 2.53% (0.302 0.3)
2-4 @ 2.35% (0.243 0.24)
2-5 @ 1.19% (0.174 0.17)
0-6 @ 1.13% (0.153 0.15)
1-6 @ 1.07% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 71.82%

How you voted: Dunkerque vs PSG

Dunkerque
17.4%
Draw
8.7%
Paris Saint-Germain
73.9%
69
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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2Arsenal371914467333471
3Manchester CityMan City37208970442668
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle372061168462266
5Chelsea37199963432066
6Aston Villa3719995849966
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest371981058451365
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton37151396258458
9Brentford37167146556955
10Fulham37159135452254
11Bournemouth3714111256461053
12Crystal Palace371313115050052
13Everton371015124144-345
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37125205368-1541
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham371010174361-1840
16Manchester UnitedMan Utd37109184254-1239
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs37115216361238
RLeicester CityLeicester3767243378-4525
RIpswich TownIpswich37410233579-4422
RSouthampton3726292584-5912


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