

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Fylde had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Fylde win it was 1-2 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Fylde |
| 61.29% ( | 20.75% ( | 17.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.08% ( | 40.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.69% ( | 63.3% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.12% ( | 12.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.73% ( | 39.27% ( |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.71% ( | 36.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.92% ( | 73.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Fylde |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 2-0 @ 9.82% ( 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 3-1 @ 6.8% ( 3-0 @ 6.71% ( 4-1 @ 3.48% ( 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 4-0 @ 3.44% ( 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 5-0 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 3.47% Total : 61.29% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.75% | 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0-1 @ 4.74% ( 0-2 @ 2.4% ( 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 1-3 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 17.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 44 | 29 | 9 | 6 | 90 | 38 | 52 | 96 |
| 2 | York City | 44 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 91 | 42 | 49 | 90 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 79 |
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 44 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Rochdale | 43 | 19 | 11 | 13 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 68 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 44 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Gateshead | 44 | 19 | 9 | 16 | 75 | 66 | 9 | 66 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 44 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 64 |
| 9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 66 | 55 | 11 | 63 |
| 10 | Tamworth | 44 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 60 | 68 | -8 | 60 |
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 14 | 17 | 13 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 59 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 44 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 58 |
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 43 | 16 | 9 | 18 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 56 |
| 15 | Woking | 44 | 13 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 56 |
| 16 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 56 |
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 78 | -11 | 54 |
| 18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 53 |
| 19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 44 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 52 |
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 72 | -19 | 50 |
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 44 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 48 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 75 | -23 | 46 |
| 23 | Fylde | 44 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 40 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 44 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 38 | 94 | -56 | 22 |
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