

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 43.74% ( | 25.33% ( | 30.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.54% ( | 48.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.41% ( | 70.59% ( |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( | 22.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.51% ( | 55.49% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% ( | 29.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.76% ( | 65.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 3-1 @ 4.55% ( 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.74% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 2% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 40 | 28 | 7 | 5 | 84 | 33 | 51 | 91 |
| 2 | York City | 40 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 77 | 37 | 40 | 80 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 40 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 60 | 35 | 25 | 75 |
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 40 | 17 | 15 | 8 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 66 |
| 5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 40 | 17 | 12 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 63 |
| 6 | Rochdale | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 60 |
| 7 | Gateshead | 40 | 17 | 9 | 14 | 67 | 57 | 10 | 60 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 40 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 59 |
| 9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 60 | 51 | 9 | 57 |
| 10 | Tamworth | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 57 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 53 |
| 12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 40 | 12 | 16 | 12 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 52 |
| 13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 52 |
| 14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 51 |
| 15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 50 |
| 16 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 48 |
| 17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 48 |
| 18 | Woking | 39 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 45 |
| 19 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 43 |
| 20 | Boston UnitedBoston | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 43 |
| 21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 48 | 67 | -19 | 42 |
| 22 | Fylde | 39 | 11 | 6 | 22 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 39 |
| 23 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 40 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 38 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 40 | 2 | 13 | 25 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 19 |
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