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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Leyton Orient

Burton Albion
2 - 1
Leyton Orient

Webster (60'), Burrell (64')
Lofthouse (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Agyei (10')
Jaiyesimi (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 2-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 29 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Stevenage
Thursday, March 27 at 8pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 0-2 Leyton Orient

Burton are the worst team in the league when playing at home - with just 14 points from 18 home fixtures - while Leyton Orient have taken 26 points from 18 away games, leading us to expect a victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawLeyton Orient
28.4% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 26.37% (-0.012 -0.01) 45.23% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.39% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.1% (0.023000000000003 0.02)53.9% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (0.019000000000002 0.02)75.36% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)33.91% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)70.59% (0.02300000000001 0.02)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25% (0.038000000000011 0.04)23.75% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1% (0.052999999999997 0.05)57.9% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 28.4%
    Leyton Orient 45.23%
    Draw 26.37%
Burton AlbionDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.77% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 28.4%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 11.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 45.23%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient

Burton Albion
30.4%
Draw
13.0%
Leyton Orient
56.5%
46
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 12.30pm
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Leyton Orient
1-2
Burton Albion
Moncur (43' pen.)
Galbraith (26')
Bennett (72'), Nsiala (76')
Nsiala (42')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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