League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 at 8pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Bristol Rovers1 - 2Birmingham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Mansfield
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 4-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
63
We said: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Birmingham City
Bristol Rovers are seeking a first win over Birmingham since January 1980, but we are finding it so difficult to back against the Blues here; it should be a relatively routine success for a side destined for a quick return to the Championship. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 66.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 13.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.15%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-0 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Birmingham City |
13.58% ( 0.05) | 20.14% ( 0.01) | 66.27% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.3% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
