

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 71.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 10.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.31%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Bristol Rovers | 
| 71.75% (  -0.21) | 17.57% (  0.25) | 10.68% (  -0.03) | 
| Both teams to score 46.72% (  -0.97) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.48% (  -1.22) | 42.52% (  1.23) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35.07% (  -1.23) | 64.93% (  1.24) | 
| Birmingham City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 89.49% (  -0.38) | 10.51% (  0.38) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.81% (  -0.86) | 34.19% (  0.87) | 
| Bristol Rovers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 52.2% (  -0.86) | 47.8% (  0.87) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.92% (  -0.64) | 83.08% (  0.65) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Birmingham City | Draw | Bristol Rovers | 
| 2-0 @ 12.74% (  0.28) 1-0 @ 11.31% (  0.43) 3-0 @ 9.57% (  0.06) 2-1 @ 9.41% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.07% (  -0.13) 4-0 @ 5.39% (  -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.98% (  -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.61% (  -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.43% (  -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.79% (  -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.47% (  -0.09) 6-0 @ 0.91% (  -0.04) Other @ 3.06% Total : 71.74% | 1-1 @ 8.36% (  0.12) 0-0 @ 5.02% (  0.27) 2-2 @ 3.47% (  -0.09) Other @ 0.71% Total : 17.57% | 0-1 @ 3.71% (  0.11) 1-2 @ 3.08% (  -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.37% (  0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 10.68% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 111 | 
| P | Wrexham | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 92 | 
| 3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 87 | 
| 4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 85 | 
| 5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 84 | 
| 6 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 24 | 6 | 16 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 78 | 
| 7 | Reading | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 57 | 11 | 75 | 
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 68 | 
| 9 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 72 | 60 | 12 | 67 | 
| 10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 19 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 64 | 
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 61 | 
| 12 | Barnsley | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 61 | 
| 13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 59 | 
| 14 | Stevenage | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 57 | 
| 15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 56 | 
| 16 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 56 | 
| 17 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 54 | 
| 18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 51 | 
| 19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 66 | -18 | 51 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 47 | 
| R | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 57 | 83 | -26 | 46 | 
| R | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 44 | 76 | -32 | 43 | 
| R | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 45 | 73 | -28 | 38 | 
| R | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 33 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
