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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Birmingham
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Buchanan (6'), Stansfield (37' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Bristol Rovers

In the midst of their longest winning run of the campaign, Birmingham should be extremely confident of extending their unbeaten run at home to nine league matches. That being said, a Bristol Rovers side full of rest and with a top goalkeeper could make it a taxing afternoon for the title candidates in the Second City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 71.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 10.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.31%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBristol Rovers
71.75% (-0.211 -0.21) 17.57% (0.247 0.25) 10.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.72% (-0.97 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.48% (-1.224 -1.22)42.52% (1.232 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.07% (-1.232 -1.23)64.93% (1.24 1.24)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.49% (-0.375 -0.38)10.51% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.81% (-0.86199999999999 -0.86)34.19% (0.87 0.87)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.2% (-0.858 -0.86)47.8% (0.866 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.92% (-0.642 -0.64)83.08% (0.64999999999999 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 71.74%
    Bristol Rovers 10.68%
    Draw 17.57%
Birmingham CityDrawBristol Rovers
2-0 @ 12.74% (0.28 0.28)
1-0 @ 11.31% (0.43 0.43)
3-0 @ 9.57% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-0 @ 5.39% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.98% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.43% (-0.065 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.79% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.089 -0.09)
6-0 @ 0.91% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 71.74%
1-1 @ 8.36% (0.121 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.271 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 17.57%
0-1 @ 3.71% (0.113 0.11)
1-2 @ 3.08% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.37% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 10.68%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Bristol Rovers

Birmingham City
91.3%
Draw
8.7%
Bristol Rovers
0.0%
23
Head to Head
Jul 20, 2019 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Birmingham
Sterry (5')
Pedersen (12'), Jutkiewicz (49')
Aug 11, 2015 7.45pm
Round One
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Birmingham
Harrison (65')
Maghoma (57'), Shinnie (68')
Davis (45'), Novak (96')
Jan 14, 2014 7.45pm
Third Round
Birmingham
3-0
Bristol Rovers
Robinson (35'), Burke (85', 87')

Harrison (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham37268363253886
2Wrexham39238854302477
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe382111665362974
4Charlton AthleticCharlton392091053351869
5Stockport CountyStockport391911955361968
6Reading381711105547862
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield381871352381461
8Bolton WanderersBolton38186146057360
9Leyton Orient381851554381659
10Blackpool391415105951857
11Barnsley39159155355-254
12Lincoln CityLincoln391311155346750
13Stevenage381310153539-449
14Mansfield TownMansfield38138174552-747
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough38129175763-645
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham38129174249-745
17Exeter CityExeter38129174053-1345
18Wigan AthleticWigan371111153437-344
19Northampton TownNorthampton391013163857-1943
20Bristol Rovers39126214063-2342
21Burton Albion38812183955-1636
22Crawley TownCrawley3999214471-2736
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge39710223763-2631
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3877243566-3128


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