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League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Reading
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Smith (66')
Bindon (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Omochere (21'), Taylor (21'), Forde (32'), Hunt (89'), Moore (90+2')
Forde (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Reading
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Reading 3-1 Bristol Rovers

Reading have won five of their six home league games this season, while Bristol Rovers have lost four of their last five away matches in the third tier. With that in mind, we think that the Royals will make full use of home advantage to take all three points from Saturday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawBristol Rovers
43.59% (-3.462 -3.46) 24.56% (-0.023 -0.02) 31.85% (3.487 3.49)
Both teams to score 58.1% (2.092 2.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.3% (1.851 1.85)44.7% (-1.85 -1.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (1.762 1.76)67.06% (-1.76 -1.76)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (-0.74299999999999 -0.74)20.61% (0.745 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (-1.189 -1.19)53.15% (1.19 1.19)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (3.29 3.29)26.82% (-3.288 -3.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.88% (4.134 4.13)62.12% (-4.134 -4.13)
Score Analysis
    Reading 43.59%
    Bristol Rovers 31.85%
    Draw 24.55%
ReadingDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.304 -0.3)
1-0 @ 8.73% (-0.936 -0.94)
2-0 @ 6.9% (-0.918 -0.92)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.275 -0.28)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.579 -0.58)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.112 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.267 -0.27)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 43.59%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.342 0.34)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.453 -0.45)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.596 0.6)
0-1 @ 7.27% (0.095 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.477 0.48)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.53 0.53)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.367 0.37)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.376 0.38)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.255 0.26)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 31.85%

How you voted: Reading vs Bristol Rovers

Reading
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Bristol Rovers
16.7%
24
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Reading

Hunt (90'), Conteh (90+2')
Smith (8'), Wing (45')
Nov 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Reading
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Smith (40')
Savage (24'), Hutchinson (49'), Craig (87')
Martin (57')
Mangan (25'), Finley (82')
Jul 21, 2015 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Reading
Samuel (39'), Blackman (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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