

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Bristol Rovers | 
| 43.59% (  -3.46) | 24.56% (  -0.02) | 31.85% (  3.49) | 
| Both teams to score 58.1% (  2.09) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.3% (  1.85) | 44.7% (  -1.85) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.94% (  1.76) | 67.06% (  -1.76) | 
| Reading Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.39% (  -0.74) | 20.61% (  0.75) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.85% (  -1.19) | 53.15% (  1.19) | 
| Bristol Rovers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.18% (  3.29) | 26.82% (  -3.29) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.88% (  4.13) | 62.12% (  -4.13) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Reading | Draw | Bristol Rovers | 
| 2-1 @ 9.07% (  -0.3) 1-0 @ 8.73% (  -0.94) 2-0 @ 6.9% (  -0.92) 3-1 @ 4.78% (  -0.28) 3-0 @ 3.63% (  -0.58) 3-2 @ 3.14% (  0.11) 4-1 @ 1.89% (  -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.43% (  -0.27) 4-2 @ 1.24% (  0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 43.59% | 1-1 @ 11.48% (  -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.97% (  0.34) 0-0 @ 5.53% (  -0.45) 3-3 @ 1.38% (  0.17) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 7.56% (  0.6) 0-1 @ 7.27% (  0.09) 0-2 @ 4.79% (  0.48) 1-3 @ 3.32% (  0.53) 2-3 @ 2.62% (  0.37) 0-3 @ 2.1% (  0.38) 1-4 @ 1.09% (  0.26) Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.85% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 111 | 
| P | Wrexham | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 92 | 
| 3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 87 | 
| 4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 85 | 
| 5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 84 | 
| 6 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 24 | 6 | 16 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 78 | 
| 7 | Reading | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 57 | 11 | 75 | 
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 68 | 
| 9 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 72 | 60 | 12 | 67 | 
| 10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 19 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 64 | 
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 61 | 
| 12 | Barnsley | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 61 | 
| 13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 59 | 
| 14 | Stevenage | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 57 | 
| 15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 56 | 
| 16 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 56 | 
| 17 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 54 | 
| 18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 51 | 
| 19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 66 | -18 | 51 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 47 | 
| R | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 57 | 83 | -26 | 46 | 
| R | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 44 | 76 | -32 | 43 | 
| R | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 45 | 73 | -28 | 38 | 
| R | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 33 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
