We said: Exeter City 2-1 Reading
While Reading have been the dominant side in this fixture over the years, their away record this season has been very poor, while Exeter have been in sensational form and are gunning for a fifth straight home win.
We are expecting an entertaining matchup here but fancy they hosts to edge the result in a close contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Reading had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.