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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Reading logo

Exeter
1 - 2
Reading

Niskanen (58')
Woods (55')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wareham (1'), Craig (36')
Mbengue (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Exeter City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Exeter
Thursday, October 17 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 4-1 Crawley
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-1 Reading

While Reading have been the dominant side in this fixture over the years, their away record this season has been very poor, while Exeter have been in sensational form and are gunning for a fifth straight home win. We are expecting an entertaining matchup here but fancy they hosts to edge the result in a close contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Reading had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawReading
49.7% (0.842 0.84) 24.37% (-0.12 -0.12) 25.93% (-0.725 -0.72)
Both teams to score 54.71% (-0.256 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)47.33% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)69.55% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (0.327 0.33)19.08% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.31% (0.544 0.54)50.69% (-0.548 -0.55)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61% (-0.59299999999999 -0.59)32.38% (0.59 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1% (-0.671 -0.67)68.9% (0.667 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 49.7%
    Reading 25.93%
    Draw 24.37%
Exeter CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.28% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.15 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.081 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 49.7%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 6.97% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 25.93%

How you voted: Exeter vs Reading

Exeter City
70.8%
Draw
16.7%
Reading
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Reading
3-2
Exeter
Knibbs (9'), Hartridge (45+2' og.), Azeez (77')
Craig (42'), Dorsett (81')
Jules (18'), Rankine (68')
Sep 19, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Exeter
0-9
Reading

Stanford Neubronner Daniels (49')
McIntyre (3'), Jules (32' og.), Mukairu (56', 60'), Ballard (67', 90+6'), Elliott (79'), Harris (85'), Vickers (90')
McIntyre (47')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Exeter
2-1
Reading
Aimson (34'), Cole (90+3')
Sweeney (17'), Jules (44'), Cole (90+3')
Knibbs (45+3')
Azeez (24'), Mbengue (36'), Carson (56'), Abby (89')
Jul 15, 2014 9.20pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Exeter
0-1
Reading
Edwards (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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