

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Exeter City | 
| 21.69% (  0.35) | 23.87% (  0.41) | 54.44% (  -0.76) | 
| Both teams to score 51.48% (  -0.81) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.72% (  -1.31) | 49.27% (  1.31) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.66% (  -1.19) | 71.33% (  1.19) | 
| Shrewsbury Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 62.78% (  -0.4) | 37.22% (  0.4) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.99% (  -0.4) | 74% (  0.39) | 
| Exeter City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82% (  -0.76) | 17.99% (  0.76) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.14% (  -1.32) | 48.85% (  1.32) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Exeter City | 
| 1-0 @ 6.62% (  0.28) 2-1 @ 5.61% (  0.04) 2-0 @ 3.27% (  0.1) 3-1 @ 1.85% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.59% (  -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.08% (  0.02) Other @ 1.68% Total : 21.69% | 1-1 @ 11.35% (  0.21) 0-0 @ 6.7% (  0.35) 2-2 @ 4.81% (  -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.91% (  -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 11.48% (  0.33) 0-2 @ 9.85% (  0.04) 1-2 @ 9.74% (  -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.63% (  -0.12) 1-3 @ 5.57% (  -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.75% (  -0.12) 0-4 @ 2.42% (  -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.39% (  -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.18% (  -0.08) Other @ 3.43% Total : 54.43% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 111 | 
| P | Wrexham | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 92 | 
| 3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 87 | 
| 4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 85 | 
| 5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 84 | 
| 6 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 24 | 6 | 16 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 78 | 
| 7 | Reading | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 57 | 11 | 75 | 
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 68 | 
| 9 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 72 | 60 | 12 | 67 | 
| 10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 19 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 64 | 
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 61 | 
| 12 | Barnsley | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 61 | 
| 13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 59 | 
| 14 | Stevenage | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 57 | 
| 15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 56 | 
| 16 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 56 | 
| 17 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 54 | 
| 18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 51 | 
| 19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 66 | -18 | 51 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 47 | 
| R | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 57 | 83 | -26 | 46 | 
| R | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 44 | 76 | -32 | 43 | 
| R | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 45 | 73 | -28 | 38 | 
| R | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 33 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
