

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 16.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Shrewsbury Town | 
| 62.53% (  1.48) | 21.06% (  -0.52) | 16.41% (  -0.97) | 
| Both teams to score 51.22% (  -0.34) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55% (  0.57) | 45% (  -0.57) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.65% (  0.55) | 67.35% (  -0.55) | 
| Bolton Wanderers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.2% (  0.64) | 13.8% (  -0.64) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.88% (  1.26) | 41.12% (  -1.25) | 
| Shrewsbury Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 59.42% (  -0.84) | 40.58% (  0.84) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.82% (  -0.77) | 77.18% (  0.77) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Shrewsbury Town | 
| 1-0 @ 11.08% (  -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.98% (  0.24) 2-1 @ 9.91% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.25% (  0.32) 3-1 @ 6.54% (  0.14) 4-0 @ 3.59% (  0.24) 4-1 @ 3.24% (  0.14) 3-2 @ 2.95% (  -0) 4-2 @ 1.46% (  0.03) 5-0 @ 1.42% (  0.13) 5-1 @ 1.28% (  0.09) Other @ 2.82% Total : 62.52% | 1-1 @ 10% (  -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.6% (  -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.47% (  -0.11) Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.06% | 0-1 @ 5.05% (  -0.24) 1-2 @ 4.51% (  -0.22) 0-2 @ 2.28% (  -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.36% (  -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.34% (  -0.07) Other @ 1.87% Total : 16.41% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 111 | 
| P | Wrexham | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 92 | 
| 3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 87 | 
| 4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 85 | 
| 5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 84 | 
| 6 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 24 | 6 | 16 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 78 | 
| 7 | Reading | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 57 | 11 | 75 | 
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 68 | 
| 9 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 72 | 60 | 12 | 67 | 
| 10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 19 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 64 | 
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 61 | 
| 12 | Barnsley | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 61 | 
| 13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 59 | 
| 14 | Stevenage | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 57 | 
| 15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 56 | 
| 16 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 56 | 
| 17 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 54 | 
| 18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 51 | 
| 19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 66 | -18 | 51 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 47 | 
| R | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 57 | 83 | -26 | 46 | 
| R | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 44 | 76 | -32 | 43 | 
| R | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 45 | 73 | -28 | 38 | 
| R | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 33 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
