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League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Exeter City

Reading
3 - 2
Exeter

Knibbs (9'), Hartridge (45+2' og.), Azeez (77')
Craig (42'), Dorsett (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Jules (18'), Rankine (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Reading and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-2 Reading
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Portsmouth
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Reading 2-0 Exeter City

Selles and his team could start 2024 positively by recording a victory over poor-travelling Exeter, whose road record leaves much to be desired. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawExeter City
49.17% (0.131 0.13) 23.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.89% (-0.133 -0.13)
Both teams to score 57.02% (-0.104 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.31% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)44.69% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)67.05% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73% (0.016999999999996 0.02)18.27% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67% (0.029000000000003 0.03)49.33% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76% (-0.146 -0.15)30.23% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6% (-0.174 -0.17)66.4% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Reading 49.17%
    Exeter City 26.89%
    Draw 23.93%
ReadingDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.39% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.98% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.52% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 49.17%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.61% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 26.89%

How you voted: Reading vs Exeter

Reading
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Exeter City
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Exeter
0-9
Reading

Stanford Neubronner Daniels (49')
McIntyre (3'), Jules (32' og.), Mukairu (56', 60'), Ballard (67', 90+6'), Elliott (79'), Harris (85'), Vickers (90')
McIntyre (47')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Exeter
2-1
Reading
Aimson (34'), Cole (90+3')
Sweeney (17'), Jules (44'), Cole (90+3')
Knibbs (45+3')
Azeez (24'), Mbengue (36'), Carson (56'), Abby (89')
Jul 15, 2014 9.20pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Exeter
0-1
Reading
Edwards (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham33237355223376
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe341910560322867
3Wrexham34198749282165
4Stockport CountyStockport351710852341861
5Charlton AthleticCharlton34178946311559
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield351771147321558
7Bolton WanderersBolton34176115550557
8Reading34159104844454
9Leyton Orient351651450351553
10Barnsley35157135048252
11Stevenage34138133234-247
12Lincoln CityLincoln351210134844446
13Blackpool34101594947245
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham34128143940-144
15Wigan AthleticWigan341010143134-340
16Mansfield TownMansfield34117164047-740
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough34108165159-838
18Northampton TownNorthampton35911153452-1838
19Exeter CityExeter33107163550-1537
20Bristol Rovers34106183553-1836
21Burton Albion35712163551-1633
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge3478193457-2329
23Crawley TownCrawley3478193764-2729
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3577213458-2428


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