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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Reading win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Oxford United |
35.91% (![]() | 24.53% (![]() | 39.57% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.38% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.48% (![]() | 43.51% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.09% (![]() | 65.91% (![]() |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% (![]() | 23.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.92% (![]() | 58.07% (![]() |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.01% (![]() | 21.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.71% (![]() | 55.29% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Oxford United |
2-1 @ 8.16% 1-0 @ 7.52% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.38% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.06% Total : 35.91% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-1 @ 7.95% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.36% 2-3 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 53 |
2 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 52 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 49 |
6 | Barnsley | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 46 |
7 | Stevenage | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Blackpool | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 35 |
11 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 33 |
13 | Port Vale | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
16 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 30 |
17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 30 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 28 |
19 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 24 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |