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League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Portsmouth

Reading
2 - 3
Portsmouth

Wing (23'), Savage (27')
Wing (45+5'), Guinness-Walker (52'), Dean (82'), Elliott (90')
Mbengue (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Anjorin (33'), Bishop (45+9'), Devlin (58')
Mousinho (46'), Robertson (60'), Saydee (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Reading 1-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Reading 1-3 Portsmouth

 The two sides enter Saturday's contest in contrasting veins of form, and we think that a confident Portsmouth side will prove too strong for the hosts, who have suffered four consecutive defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawPortsmouth
29.52% (0.0020000000000024 0) 25.4% (-0.026 -0.03) 45.08% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.09% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.6% (0.107 0.11)49.4% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (0.094999999999999 0.09)71.44% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (0.056000000000012 0.06)30.74% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (0.066000000000003 0.07)67% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (0.052999999999997 0.05)21.9% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84% (0.082999999999998 0.08)55.16% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Reading 29.52%
    Portsmouth 45.07%
    Draw 25.4%
ReadingDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 7.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.8% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 29.52%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 10.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 45.07%

How you voted: Reading vs Portsmouth

Reading
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Portsmouth
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2015 7.45pm
Round Two
Portsmouth
1-2
Reading
Chaplin (40')
Blackman (64'), McCleary (84')
Robson-Kanu (45'), Norwood (74')
> Match Report
Mar 6, 2012 8pm
Reading
1-0
Portsmouth
Hunt (24')
> Match Report
Aug 16, 2011 7.45pm
Portsmouth
1-0
Reading
Kitson (51')
Mullins (20'), Ward (90')

Hunt (58'), Pearce (85')
Apr 2, 2011 3pm
Reading
2-0
Portsmouth
Long (30', 37' pen.)
McAnuff (40')

De Laet (8'), Mullins (27'), Hogg (90')
Rocha (36')
Aug 14, 2010 3pm
Portsmouth
1-1
Reading
Ciftci (8')
Kebe (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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