Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackpool | Draw | Reading |
| 43.44% ( | 24.61% ( | 31.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.12% ( | 44.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.76% ( | 67.24% ( |
| Blackpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% ( | 20.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.62% ( | 53.38% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( | 26.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.85% ( | 62.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackpool | Draw | Reading |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 4-2 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.44% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 37 | 26 | 8 | 3 | 63 | 25 | 38 | 86 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 77 |
| 3 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 65 | 36 | 29 | 74 |
| 4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 69 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 39 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 55 | 36 | 19 | 68 |
| 6 | Reading | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 62 |
| 7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 61 |
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 60 | 57 | 3 | 60 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 59 |
| 10 | Blackpool | 39 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 57 |
| 11 | Barnsley | 39 | 15 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 54 |
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 39 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 50 |
| 13 | Stevenage | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 49 |
| 14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 45 |
| 16 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 45 |
| 17 | Exeter CityExeter | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 45 |
| 18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 44 |
| 19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 39 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 43 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 12 | 6 | 21 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 42 |
| 21 | Burton Albion | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 36 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 36 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 39 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 31 |
| 24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 35 | 66 | -31 | 28 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
