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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Rotherham logo

Northampton
0 - 2
Rotherham


Eyoma (40'), Perry (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ruddock (22'), Nombe (65')
Powell (53'), Hugill (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 0-4 Crawley
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Rotherham United

Neither side are in the strongest form at the moment, but with the threat of relegation looming large, Northampton will be keen to make the most of their chance against a struggling side in midweek. However, Rotherham could be invigorated by the arrival of a fresh face in the dugout, and the new manager bounce - even after such a short span of time - could help them to avoid defeat on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 46.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.02%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawRotherham United
26.34% (0.366 0.37) 26.74% (0.178 0.18) 46.92% (-0.552 -0.55)
Both teams to score 47.9% (-0.218 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.58% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)56.42% (0.422 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.57% (-0.346 -0.35)77.43% (0.34 0.34)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.06% (0.078000000000003 0.08)36.94% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.27% (0.081 0.08)73.73% (-0.086000000000013 -0.09)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95% (-0.446 -0.45)24.05% (0.44 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.68% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)58.31% (0.63 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 26.34%
    Rotherham United 46.91%
    Draw 26.73%
Northampton TownDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.162 0.16)
2-1 @ 6.28% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.41% (0.091 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.08% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.46% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 26.34%
1-1 @ 12.6% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.88% (0.143 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 12.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 9.02% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.29% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.27% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 46.91%

How you voted: Northampton vs Rotherham

Northampton Town
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Rotherham United
30.0%
20
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
Rotherham
3-0
Northampton
Clarke-Harris (3', 33'), Green (49')
Powell (55')

Hoskins (44'), Waghorn (72')
Mar 17, 2018 3pm
Northampton
0-3
Rotherham

van Veen (72')
Smith (18'), Ball (62'), Towell (81')
Taylor (14'), Ajayi (37'), Mattock (59')
Sep 30, 2017 3pm
Feb 2, 2013 3pm
Rotherham
3-1
Northampton
Pringle (75'), Noble (79'), Nardiello (42' pen.)
Nardiello (43'), Bradley (63'), Slew (85')
Carlisle (90')
Aug 21, 2012 7.45pm
Northampton
2-1
Rotherham
Hackett (26'), Nicholls (86')
Guttridge (63'), Akinfenwa (87'), Platt (90')
Pringle (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham443293803050105
2Wrexham452611865343189
3Stockport CountyStockport452412969412884
4Wycombe WanderersWycombe452412969422784
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4524101164422282
6Leyton Orient452361668472175
7Reading4521121266531375
8Bolton WanderersBolton45207186669-367
9Blackpool4416161268571164
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45197195751664
11Lincoln CityLincoln4516131664541061
12Barnsley451610196571-658
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham451511195258-656
14Stevenage451511194149-856
15Exeter CityExeter451511194962-1356
16Wigan AthleticWigan441315163840-254
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough441312196575-1051
18Northampton TownNorthampton451214194765-1850
19Mansfield TownMansfield44139225371-1848
20Burton Albion441113204762-1546
21Crawley TownCrawley451110245582-2743
22Bristol Rovers45127264372-2943
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge45911254471-2738
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4589284077-3733


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