We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Rotherham United
Neither side are in the strongest form at the moment, but with the threat of relegation looming large, Northampton will be keen to make the most of their chance against a struggling side in midweek.
However, Rotherham could be invigorated by the arrival of a fresh face in the dugout, and the new manager bounce - even after such a short span of time - could help them to avoid defeat on Tuesday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 46.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.02%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.