Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.44%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (12.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.