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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 29
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Port Vale

Colchester
2 - 1
Port Vale

Tovide (34'), Kelleher (86')
Hunt (80'), Iandolo (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Richards (85')
John (42'), Clark (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-1 Port Vale

Both teams have shown their resilience in recent weeks, and their ability to find ways to avoid defeat suggests that they will play out a close contest in midweek. Also, given that Colchester have conceded very few goals recently while also scoring very few of their own means that Tuesday's game should be low scoring once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 43.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawPort Vale
43.51% (0.311 0.31) 28.91% (0.529 0.53) 27.59% (-0.834 -0.83)
Both teams to score 42.94% (-1.809 -1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.86% (-2.036 -2.04)63.14% (2.039 2.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.43% (-1.497 -1.5)82.57% (1.501 1.5)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (-0.815 -0.81)28.89% (0.819 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.24% (-1.026 -1.03)64.76% (1.03 1.03)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.39% (-1.829 -1.83)39.61% (1.833 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.71% (-1.736 -1.74)76.3% (1.74 1.74)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 43.51%
    Port Vale 27.58%
    Draw 28.89%
Colchester UnitedDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 14.21% (0.74 0.74)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.263 0.26)
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 43.51%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 11.44% (0.84 0.84)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.272 -0.27)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.89%
0-1 @ 10.59% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 27.58%

How you voted: Colchester vs Port Vale

Colchester United
55.0%
Draw
22.5%
Port Vale
22.5%
40
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Port Vale
1-1
Colchester
Debrah (56')
Heneghan (44'), John (62')
Tovide (90')
Read (34'), Woodyard (60'), Flanagan (86'), Egbo (90+2')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Colchester
1-0
Port Vale
Dallison (85')

Worrall (90+6')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Port Vale
3-0
Colchester
Gibbons (6'), Wilson (16'), Martin (61')
Gibbons (75')

Sarpong-Wiredu (11'), Chilvers (51')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Colchester
0-1
Port Vale

Nouble (77'), Eastman (90+2')
Rodney (19')
Oyeleke (16'), Montano (61'), Legge (62'), Brown (89')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 17
Port Vale
1-1
Colchester
Rodney (58')
Joyce (69')
Norris (65')
Norris (77'), Gambin (88'), Senior (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale422113859401976
2Bradford CityBradford4221101158391973
3Walsall4220121072512172
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster4120111062471571
5AFC Wimbledon4219121155322369
6Notts County4219111262431968
7Grimsby Town42206165960-166
8Colchester UnitedColchester421617951401165
9Chesterfield4217111465501562
10Salford City411613125347661
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe421516114944561
12Swindon TownSwindon421415136661557
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood421414145756156
14Bromley421414145656056
15BarrowBarrow421510174947255
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham421411175463-953
17Gillingham421214163744-750
18Newport CountyNewport42138215170-1947
19MK Dons42137225166-1546
20Harrogate TownHarrogate421210203554-1946
21Tranmere RoversTranmere421014183961-2244
22Accrington StanleyAccrington421013194966-1743
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle42910233663-2737
24Morecambe42106263762-2536


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