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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
County Ground
Port Vale

Swindon
3 - 3
Port Vale

Wright (20' pen.), Butterworth (45'), Cotterill (63')
Cain (57')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Headley (31'), Tolaj (40', 87')
John (49'), Heneghan (56'), Smith (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 1-5 Swindon
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 1-4 Wrexham
Tuesday, February 4 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Port Vale

Both sides come into the game in good form, and their league positions are not representative of the levels the teams are currently operating at. While Port Vale will be desperate to keep up with their promotion rivals, they will likely have to make do with just a single point this weekend as Swindon are sure to make the clash a close-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawPort Vale
40.05% (0.055 0.05) 26.37% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 33.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.6% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.92% (0.058 0.06)52.07% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.19% (0.048999999999999 0.05)73.8% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (0.054999999999993 0.05)25.55% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.58% (0.076000000000001 0.08)60.42% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66% (0.0019999999999953 0)29.33% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)65.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 40.04%
    Port Vale 33.57%
    Draw 26.37%
Swindon TownDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 40.04%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 33.57%

How you voted: Swindon vs Port Vale

Swindon Town
53.8%
Draw
30.8%
Port Vale
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Port Vale
2-1
Swindon
Byers (61'), Cover (85')
Garrity (59'), Sang (87'), Byers (90')
Wright (89')
Cotterill (90+4')
May 19, 2022 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-0
Swindon
(Aggregate 0-0 | Port Vale win 6-5 on penalties)
Wilson (8')
Wilson (42'), Pett (59')

Iandolo (56'), Conroy (95'), McKirdy (120+1')
May 15, 2022 12pm
Swindon
2-1
Port Vale
McKirdy (26', 68')
Davison (32'), Reed (77')
Wilson (83')
Charsley (42')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Port Vale
1-3
Swindon
Harratt (26')
Lucas (45+3')
Williams (20'), Gladwin (45+5' pen.), Smith (69' og.)
Lyden (81')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Swindon
1-2
Port Vale
Simpson (49')
Payne (13'), Simpson (45+4'), Gilbert (55'), Parsons (83')
Garrity (22', 81')
Jones (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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