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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Crewe Alexandra

Swindon
0 - 0
Crewe

FT

Demetriou (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 4-1 Bromley
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Crewe Alexandra

While Crewe Alexandra enter this match with a much better record this season, Swindon Town have been very impressive at home since the arrival of Ian Holloway, and we feel that they will be able to take a share of the spoils from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
40.19% (-0.142 -0.14) 26.87% (0.181 0.18) 32.95% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-0.581 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.79% (-0.732 -0.73)54.21% (0.73500000000001 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (-0.616 -0.62)75.61% (0.617 0.62)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-0.41499999999999 -0.41)26.46% (0.417 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (-0.556 -0.56)61.64% (0.559 0.56)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.393 -0.39)30.81% (0.397 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (-0.465 -0.46)67.09% (0.467 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 40.19%
    Crewe Alexandra 32.95%
    Draw 26.86%
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.19%
1-1 @ 12.76% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.15% (0.231 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.95%

How you voted: Swindon vs Crewe

Swindon Town
38.9%
Draw
0.0%
Crewe Alexandra
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Crewe
0-0
Swindon
Demetriou (44'), Tabiner (51')
Cotterill (24')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Crewe
2-1
Swindon
Nevitt (13'), Baker-Richardson (71')
Thomas (56'), Rowe (72'), Nevitt (90+4')
Austin (30')
Kinsella (17'), Minturn (20'), Austin (34')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Swindon
2-2
Crewe
Godwin-Malife (21'), Young (47')
McEachran (26'), Mahoney (82'), Blake-Tracy (87'), Brewitt (90+6')
Williams (60'), Adebisi (85')
Adebisi (15'), Powell (15'), Bell (16'), Williams (20'), Thomas (23'), Long (67'), Davies (90+2')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Crewe
2-1
Swindon
Thomas (82'), Tabiner (86')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Swindon
0-1
Crewe
Agyei (23' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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