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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
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Chesterfield
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Fleetwood Town
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Colchester United

Swindon
3 - 2
Colchester

Clarke (15'), Drinan (82'), Cox (90+8' pen.)
Sobowale (45+1'), Barden (60'), Cox (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Payne (44' pen., 61' pen.)
McDonnell (30'), Gordon (45+1'), Iandolo (78')
Iandolo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bromley 1-1 Swindon
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 2-2 Colchester United

At least three or more goals have been scored the last four times these teams have met in a competitive fixture, and we expect another strong attacking display for each on Wednesday, but no one finding that decisive advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
43.92% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 26.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 29.85% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)52.67% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.69% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)74.31% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)23.85% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.97% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)58.03% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.81% (0.015999999999991 0.02)32.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.33% (0.018000000000001 0.02)68.67% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 43.92%
    Colchester United 29.85%
    Draw 26.23%
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 43.92%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 29.85%

How you voted: Swindon vs Colchester

Swindon Town
56.0%
Draw
28.0%
Colchester United
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Colchester
4-0
Swindon
Smith (10' og.), Tovide (12', 26'), Payne (38')

Cotterill (34'), Hall (43'), McGregor (58')
Nov 2, 2024 3pm
First Round
Swindon
2-1
Colchester
McGregor (83'), Tshimanga (110')
Wright (23'), Smith (85'), McGregor (102')
Anderson (64')
Flanagan (9'), Cowley (11'), McDonnell (23'), Gordon (63'), Hunt (71'), Iandolo (85'), Donnelly (90')
Jan 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Swindon
2-2
Colchester
Austin (18' pen.), Brewitt (43')
Shade (74')
Jay (45+2'), Ihionvien (90+4')
Chilvers (14'), Cowley (15'), Marshall-Miranda (64')
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Colchester
3-1
Swindon
Kinsella (49' og.), Tovide (64'), Chilvers (90+3')
Tovide (49')
Young (23')
Kemp (31'), Kinsella (45')
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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