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Tranmere Rovers
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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
Tranmere Rovers

Swindon
3 - 1
Tranmere

Glatzel (86'), Smith (90'), Tshimanga (90+4' pen.)
Smith (22'), Clarke (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Davison (7')
Norman (19'), Drysdale (22'), Davison (54')
Norman (62'), Drysdale (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 1-2 Swindon
Friday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 3-1 Tranmere Rovers

Swindon have been enjoying a good run of form, especially in front of their fans, and with their dominant showing coupled with their attacking threat, they are primed for a win on Tuesday. Given the attacking prowess of the Robins, coupled with the defensive frailties of the visitors, we back the home side to claim a 3-1 victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Swindon Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swindon Town.

Result
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
50.84% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 24.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 24.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 53.7% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.85% (-0.105 -0.1)48.15% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.69% (-0.096 -0.1)70.31% (0.091000000000008 0.09)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.05% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)18.95% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.53% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)50.47% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.25% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)33.75% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.6% (-0.064 -0.06)70.4% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 50.83%
    Tranmere Rovers 24.82%
    Draw 24.34%
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 8.85% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 50.83%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 24.82%

How you voted: Swindon vs Tranmere

Swindon Town
85.0%
Draw
10.0%
Tranmere Rovers
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Tranmere
1-1
Swindon
Dennis (17')
Merrie (54' og.)
King (24'), Cain (90+3')
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Swindon
3-1
Tranmere
McGurk (23'), Hepburn-Murphy (35', 64')
McCarthy (39'), Devoy (61')
Apter (25')
Merrie (90+2')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Tranmere
2-1
Swindon
Morris (55'), Davies (72')
Jennings (42'), Walker (57')
Kemp (22')
Shade (82'), Young (89'), Hutton (90+4')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Swindon
1-1
Tranmere
Wakeling (30')
Hawkes (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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