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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 59.32% ( | 22.46% ( | 18.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.01% ( | 47.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.84% ( | 70.16% ( |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.19% ( | 15.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.03% ( | 44.97% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.83% ( | 40.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.19% ( | 76.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Walsall | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.71% ( 2-0 @ 10.8% ( 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 3-0 @ 6.64% ( 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 4-0 @ 3.06% ( 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 5-1 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 59.31% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 2-2 @ 4.49% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.46% | 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0-2 @ 2.64% ( 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 2-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.22% |