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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
Carlisle United

Tranmere
1 - 0
Carlisle

Norman (23')
Patrick (38'), Davies (58'), Jennings (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hayden (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 2-0 Tranmere
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 3-2 Carlisle
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Carlisle United

This weekend's match between Tranmere and Carlisle features two teams who have both struggled with consistency this season. While the home side might expect a comfortable encounter against the team currently bottom of the table, the visitors are unbeaten in their last two matches against Tranmere, suggesting that Saturday's fixture could end in a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawCarlisle United
47.68% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 25.82% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 26.5% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.14% (0.028999999999996 0.03)52.85% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53% (0.024999999999999 0.02)74.47% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (0.020999999999987 0.02)22.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43% (0.033999999999999 0.03)55.56% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)34.88% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38% (0.0020000000000024 0)71.61% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 47.68%
    Carlisle United 26.5%
    Draw 25.81%
Tranmere RoversDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 47.68%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 26.5%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Carlisle

Tranmere Rovers
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Carlisle United
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Carlisle
1-2
Tranmere
Patrick (7')
Jones (45+1'), Ellis (85')
Davies (7'), Patrick (37')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Carlisle
2-0
Tranmere
Dennis (3', 39')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Carlisle
2-1
Tranmere
Gibson (30'), Harris (66')
Byrne (82')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Tranmere
0-2
Carlisle
Dennis (1', 54')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Tranmere
2-2
Carlisle
Hemmings (15'), Nevitt (76')
Hemmings (43'), Davies (44'), Cogley (88'), Murphy (90+1'), Clarke (90+2')
MacDonald (40'), Morris (90+1')
Patrick (55'), Sho-Silva (90+7')
Simeu (43'), Feeney (43'), Mellor (64'), Mellish (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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