League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle2 - 1Accrington
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Morecambe
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Accrington 0-2 Salford City
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
26
We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Accrington Stanley
When two struggling teams go head-to-head, there is often a sense of opportunity for both sides to go all out in pursuit of maximum points – however, we believe this clash is more likely to end in a stalemate, given that both teams have been lacking sharpness in front of goal recently. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
38.8% ( 0) | 26.88% ( 0) | 34.32% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
