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AFC Wimbledon
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Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Swindon Town

Accrington
2 - 2
Swindon

Aljofree (16'), Rawson (30')
Woods (77'), Costelloe (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Smith (11'), Butterworth (69')
Butterworth (36'), McGregor (53'), Glatzel (59'), Delaney (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Swindon
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-0 Swindon Town

Considering their solid record at Wham Stadium so far this season, we are expecting Accrington to pick up at least a point from this fixture. Swindon are hovering above the danger zone in League Two, and we believe that the Robins will fail to earn anything from their trip to the 'Owd Reds. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
30.85% (0.318 0.32) 24.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 44.46% (-0.316 -0.32)
Both teams to score 57.17% (0.167 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (0.145 0.15)45.71% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (0.139 0.14)68.03% (-0.137 -0.14)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (0.282 0.28)27.97% (-0.282 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4% (0.358 0.36)63.6% (-0.358 -0.36)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)20.64% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (-0.126 -0.13)53.21% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 30.85%
    Swindon Town 44.46%
    Draw 24.69%
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 7.39% (0.053 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.36% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.69% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.99% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.85%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.19% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.82% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.78% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 44.46%

How you voted: Accrington vs Swindon

Accrington Stanley
65.4%
Draw
19.2%
Swindon Town
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Swindon
1-2
Accrington
Drinan (47')
McEachran (30'), Blake-Tracy (59')
Nolan (57' pen.), Henderson (82')
Leigh (14'), Mellor (90')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Accrington
3-4
Swindon
Adedoyin (90+2'), Hills (90+7', 90+10')
Bagueloc'rich (6'), McCracken (17'), Conneely (18'), Hills (29'), Longelo-Mbule (33'), Lowe (87')
Coleman (7')
Kemp (17' pen.), Young (31'), Khan (60'), Austin (89')
Kemp (25'), Young (49')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Accrington
2-1
Swindon
Charles (11'), Bishop (44')
Hughes (31'), Butcher (45+2'), Burgess (59')
Pitman (30')
Nov 17, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
0-3
Accrington

Grounds (73')
Fryer (6' og.), Bishop (25'), Charles (38')
May 5, 2018 3pm
Swindon
3-0
Accrington
Richards (14'), Anderson (43'), Mullin (55')
Dunne (85')

Dunne (76')
Dunne (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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