

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 36.2% ( | 25.55% ( | 38.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.8% ( | 48.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.65% ( | 70.35% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% ( | 25.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.13% ( | 60.87% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.25% ( | 24.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.69% ( | 59.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 4-1 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 36.2% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0-3 @ 2.91% ( 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 2-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.81% Total : 38.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 |
| P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 |
| P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 |
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 |
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 |
| 8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 |
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 |
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 |
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 |
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 |
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 |
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 |
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 |
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 |
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 |
| 20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 |
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 |
| 22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 |
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 |
| R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 |
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
